PREDICTIONVIEW MARKET DIRECTORY

Climate prediction markets

Explore Kalshi and Polymarket questions, probabilities, closing times, and market rules. Open any market in the terminal to compare outcomes and practice with paper trading.

Polymarket

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes

71.5%

Closes 1/1/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes

27.7%

Closes 1/1/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes

0.1%

Closes 12/30/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes

0.1%

Closes 12/30/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes

0.1%

Closes 12/30/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes

0.1%

Closes 12/30/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes

0.1%

Closes 1/1/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes

0.1%

Closes 12/30/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes

0.1%

Closes 12/30/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes

0.1%

Closes 1/1/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes

0.1%

Closes 12/30/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes

0.1%

Closes 12/30/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Kalshi

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?

Before 2035

22.0%

Closes 12/30/2035

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Yes

88.0%

Closes 3/1/2027

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Polymarket

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Yes

9.5%

Closes 3/1/2027

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Polymarket

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

Yes

0.1%

Closes 3/1/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?

Yes

0.1%

Closes 3/1/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?

Yes

0.1%

Closes 3/1/2027

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Polymarket

Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

Yes

0.1%

Closes 12/30/2026

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Polymarket

Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Yes

79.0%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Yes

20.5%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Yes

0.5%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Yes

0.4%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Yes

0.3%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Yes

0.1%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Yes

0.1%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Yes

0.1%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between November 15 and November 30, 2026?

Yes

39.5%

Closes 11/30/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before November 15, 2026?

Yes

31.5%

Closes 11/15/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before January 1, 2027?

Yes

12.0%

Closes 1/1/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between December 1 and December 15, 2026?

Yes

9.5%

Closes 12/15/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between December 16 and December 31, 2026?

Yes

7.5%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes

99.5%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes

97.4%

Closes 12/31/2026

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Polymarket

Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes

85.0%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes

74.0%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes

47.5%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes

19.0%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes

5.0%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Yes

3.3%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will PHIVOLCS raise Mayon to Alert Level 4 by November 30?

Yes

34.0%

Closes 11/30/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will PHIVOLCS raise Mayon to Alert Level 4 by November 15?

Yes

27.0%

Closes 11/15/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will PHIVOLCS raise Mayon to Alert Level 4 by November 7?

Yes

10.5%

Closes 11/7/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by January 1, 2027?

Yes

39.5%

Closes 1/1/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will the Danube River return to normal levels between November 15 and November 30, 2026?

Yes

24.0%

Closes 11/30/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will the Danube River return to normal levels between December 16 and December 31, 2026?

Yes

17.5%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will the Danube River return to normal levels between December 1 and December 15, 2026?

Yes

14.5%

Closes 12/15/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will the Danube River return to normal levels before November 15, 2026?

Yes

10.0%

Closes 11/15/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

98.3%

Closes 1/31/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Yes

1.7%

Closes 1/31/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

70.5%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

Yes

29.5%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

92.1%

Closes 2/28/2027

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Polymarket

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

Yes

7.9%

Closes 2/28/2027

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Kalshi

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

Before 2050

70.0%

Closes 12/31/2049

Market details →Open chart ↗

Kalshi

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

Gas

4.0%

Closes 12/30/2032

Market details →Open chart ↗

Kalshi

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

Oil

60.0%

Closes 12/30/2032

Market details →Open chart ↗

Kalshi

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

Traditional biomass

3.0%

Closes 12/30/2032

Market details →Open chart ↗

Kalshi

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

Coal

14.0%

Closes 12/30/2032

Market details →Open chart ↗

Kalshi

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

Nuclear

3.0%

Closes 12/30/2032

Market details →Open chart ↗

Kalshi

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

Hydropower

3.0%

Closes 12/30/2032

Market details →Open chart ↗

Kalshi

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

Wind

1.0%

Closes 12/30/2032

Market details →Open chart ↗

Kalshi

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

Solar

3.0%

Closes 12/30/2032

Market details →Open chart ↗

Kalshi

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

Other renewables

3.0%

Closes 12/30/2032

Market details →Open chart ↗

Kalshi

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

Modern biofuels

3.0%

Closes 12/30/2032

Market details →Open chart ↗

Kalshi

EV market share in 2030?

Above 30%

40.0%

Closes 5/1/2030

Market details →Open chart ↗

Kalshi

EV market share in 2030?

Above 10%

84.0%

Closes 5/1/2030

Market details →Open chart ↗

Kalshi

EV market share in 2030?

Above 20%

61.0%

Closes 5/1/2030

Market details →Open chart ↗

Kalshi

EV market share in 2030?

Above 50%

24.0%

Closes 5/1/2030

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

New pandemic in 2026?

98.1%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

New pandemic in 2026?

Yes

1.9%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Kalshi

Will the US meet its climate goals?

By 2030

16.1%

Closes 12/31/2035

Market details →Open chart ↗

Kalshi

Will the US meet its climate goals?

By 2025

6.1%

Closes 12/31/2030

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?

Yes

51.5%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Yes

21.5%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Yes

9.9%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Yes

5.0%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Yes

1.5%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will there be exactly 4 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Yes

0.1%

Closes 3/31/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?

Yes

74.2%

Closes 3/31/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?

Yes

24.1%

Closes 3/31/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?

Yes

0.4%

Closes 3/31/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will there be fewer than 20 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?

Yes

0.1%

Closes 3/31/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Yes

92.5%

Closes 1/10/2027

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Polymarket

Will 1200 to 1249 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Yes

5.3%

Closes 1/10/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Yes

2.4%

Closes 1/10/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Yes

1.1%

Closes 1/10/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will 1050 to 1099 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Yes

0.3%

Closes 1/10/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Yes

0.1%

Closes 1/10/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will 950 to 999 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Yes

0.1%

Closes 1/10/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will 1000 to 1049 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Yes

0.1%

Closes 1/10/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?

73.5%

Closes 1/15/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?

Yes

26.5%

Closes 1/15/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 84 to 97 km/h in November?

Yes

49.5%

Closes 11/30/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 98 km/h or above in November?

Yes

42.5%

Closes 11/30/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 83 km/h or below in November?

Yes

39.0%

Closes 11/30/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

87.5%

Closes 2/28/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Yes

12.5%

Closes 2/28/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Kalshi

Will India meet its climate goals?

By 2030

67.0%

Closes 12/31/2031

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Yes

46.5%

Closes 1/7/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Yes

34.0%

Closes 1/7/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Yes

5.0%

Closes 1/7/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Yes

3.8%

Closes 1/7/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

98.3%

Closes 2/28/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Yes

1.7%

Closes 2/28/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Human moon landing in 2026?

99.1%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Human moon landing in 2026?

Yes

0.9%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

New pandemic before 2028?

87.5%

Closes 12/31/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

New pandemic before 2028?

Yes

12.5%

Closes 12/31/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?

Yes

44.0%

Closes 4/15/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?

Yes

33.0%

Closes 4/15/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,033 but below 1,038 ft?

Yes

20.8%

Closes 4/15/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation stay above 1,038 ft?

Yes

4.7%

Closes 4/15/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Natural Disaster in 2026?

95.3%

Closes 2/28/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Yes

4.7%

Closes 2/28/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Kalshi

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?

Before 2030

32.0%

Closes 12/31/2029

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?

94.0%

Closes 1/11/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?

Yes

6.0%

Closes 1/11/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?

Yes

95.5%

Closes 4/15/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?

Yes

3.3%

Closes 4/15/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,490 but below 3,500 ft?

Yes

0.3%

Closes 4/15/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation fall below 3,490 ft?

Yes

0.3%

Closes 4/15/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by March 31, 2027?

Yes

50.0%

Closes 3/31/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by December 31, 2026?

Yes

4.5%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

78.5%

Closes 6/30/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

Yes

21.5%

Closes 6/30/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Kalshi

When will a supervolcano next erupt?

Before Jan 1, 2050

26.0%

Closes 12/31/2049

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

98.3%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

Yes

1.8%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

94.8%

Closes 3/31/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Yes

5.1%

Closes 3/31/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Screwworm National Emergency declared by December 31?

86.5%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Screwworm National Emergency declared by December 31?

Yes

13.5%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

95.7%

Closes 2/28/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Yes

4.3%

Closes 2/28/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?

Yes

77.0%

Closes 12/31/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?

23.0%

Closes 12/31/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

89.5%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

New COVID variant of concern before 2027?

Yes

10.5%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

97.2%

Closes 1/31/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Yes

2.9%

Closes 1/31/2027

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

97.4%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Yes

2.6%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Kalshi

Will the EU meet its climate goals?

By 2030

48.0%

Closes 12/31/2032

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

95.5%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗

Polymarket

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Yes

4.5%

Closes 12/31/2026

Market details →Open chart ↗