PredictionView
PolymarketPolymarket · active

Human moon landing in 2026?

Yes

0.9%Market probability
Closes
December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
Volume
1,979,382.186 USD
Bid / ask
0.9¢ / 1.0¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Read the source market on Polymarket ↗

Research this market

Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.

Explore Lab strategies ↗

More markets to explore

Market probabilities reflect venue prices and can change. Market data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Not investment advice. All markets · Licenses