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Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

Before 2050

70.0%Market probability
Closes
December 31, 2049 at 11:59 PM ET
Volume
21,612.96 contracts
Bid / ask
66.0¢ / 69.0¢

Resolution rules

If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Research this market

Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.

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