Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Before 2050
70.0%Market probability
- Closes
- December 31, 2049 at 11:59 PM ET
- Volume
- 21,612.96 contracts
- Bid / ask
- 66.0¢ / 69.0¢
Resolution rules
If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.
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