Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
Before 2030
32.0%Market probability
- Closes
- December 31, 2029 at 11:59 PM ET
- Volume
- 46,151.2 contracts
- Bid / ask
- 32.0¢ / 34.0¢
Resolution rules
If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in Japan or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Read the source market on Kalshi ↗Research this market
Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.
Explore Lab strategies ↗