PredictionView
PolymarketPolymarket · active

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Yes

0.9%Market probability
Closes
November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
Volume
5,022,180.421 USD
Bid / ask
0.8¢ / 1.1¢

Resolution rules

A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Read the source market on Polymarket ↗

Research this market

Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.

Explore Lab strategies ↗

More markets to explore

Market probabilities reflect venue prices and can change. Market data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Not investment advice. All markets · Licenses