Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Yes
2.6%Market probability
- Closes
- December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Volume
- 45,029,782.316 USD
- Bid / ask
- 2.6¢ / 2.7¢
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Read the source market on Polymarket ↗Research this market
Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.
Explore Lab strategies ↗