PredictionView
PolymarketPolymarket · active

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

Yes

14.5%Market probability
Closes
December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
Volume
1,466,576.1 USD
Bid / ask
14.0¢ / 15.0¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

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Market probabilities reflect venue prices and can change. Market data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Not investment advice. All markets · Licenses