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Will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved before 2030?

Before 2030

76.0%Market probability
Closes
January 7, 2030 at 10:00 AM ET
Volume
223.81 contracts
Bid / ask
42.0¢ / 50.0¢

Resolution rules

If Yang-Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2030 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.

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