Will Reform UK minority form the next government in the United Kingdom?
Reform UK minority
6.0%Market probability
- Closes
- January 1, 2030 at 10:00 AM ET
- Volume
- 29.11 contracts
- Bid / ask
- 3.2¢ / 10.0¢
Resolution rules
If Reform UK, with Reform UK not holding a majority of seats in the House of Commons and with no other party in a confidence and supply arrangement with the ruling government exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.
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