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Will Labour minority form the next government in the United Kingdom?

Labour minority

1.5%Market probability
Closes
January 1, 2030 at 10:00 AM ET
Volume
192.46 contracts
Bid / ask
1.4¢ / 9.2¢

Resolution rules

If the Labour Party, with the Labour Party not holding a majority of seats in the House of Commons and with no other party in a confidence and supply arrangement with the ruling government exclusively make up the next elected ruling government of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.

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Market probabilities reflect venue prices and can change. Market data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Not investment advice. All markets · Licenses