Will the U.S. State Department issue a Level 4 warning for Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027?
Before Jan 1, 2027
1.1%Market probability
- Closes
- December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET
- Volume
- 212,984.4 contracts
- Bid / ask
- 1.1¢ / 3.0¢
Resolution rules
If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.
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