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Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?

Between 2025 and 2035?

18.0%Market probability
Closes
December 30, 2036 at 10:00 AM ET
Volume
3,452.11 contracts
Bid / ask
18.0¢ / 21.0¢

Resolution rules

If any U.S. state experiences a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Research this market

Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.

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Market probabilities reflect venue prices and can change. Market data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Not investment advice. All markets · Licenses