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Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2029 be above 5.0%?

Above 5.0%

43.0%Market probability
Closes
January 28, 2030 at 8:29 AM ET
Volume
0.08 contracts
Bid / ask
36.0¢ / 46.0¢

Resolution rules

If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2029 is above 5.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.

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Market probabilities reflect venue prices and can change. Market data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Not investment advice. All markets · Licenses