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Will Friedrich Merz become Chancellor of Germany following the next German federal election?

Friedrich Merz

19.0%Market probability
Closes
August 26, 2029 at 10:00 AM ET
Volume
718.85 contracts
Bid / ask
11.0¢ / 19.0¢

Resolution rules

If Friedrich Merz becomes Chancellor of Germany as a result of government formation following the next German federal election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 26, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.

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