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Mortgage applications change above −8% in the next MBA report?

Above -8%

15.0%Market probability
Closes
November 11, 2026 at 6:59 AM ET
Volume
232.88 contracts
Bid / ask
91.0¢ / 99.0¢

Resolution rules

If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -8%, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.

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Market probabilities reflect venue prices and can change. Market data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Not investment advice. All markets · Licenses