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Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?

Before 2050

26.0%Market probability
Closes
December 31, 2049 at 11:59 PM ET
Volume
17,084.1 contracts
Bid / ask
27.0¢ / 32.0¢

Resolution rules

If a human lands on Mars before California starts its high speed rail service for the public before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.

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Market probabilities reflect venue prices and can change. Market data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Not investment advice. All markets · Licenses