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Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2029?

Before 2029

63.0%Market probability
Closes
January 1, 2029 at 10:00 AM ET
Volume
793.31 contracts
Bid / ask
64.0¢ / 70.0¢

Resolution rules

If any of the Source Agencies report that an LLM has beaten a chess grandmaster in chess before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Research this market

Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.

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Market probabilities reflect venue prices and can change. Market data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Not investment advice. All markets · Licenses