Will it be reported that an LLM has beat a grandmaster in chess before 2030?
Before 2030
72.0%Market probability
- Closes
- January 1, 2030 at 10:00 AM ET
- Volume
- 378.72 contracts
- Bid / ask
- 72.0¢ / 78.0¢
Resolution rules
If any of the Source Agencies report that an LLM has beaten a chess grandmaster in chess before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.
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