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Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?

Before 2033

35.0%Market probability
Closes
December 31, 2032 at 11:59 PM ET
Volume
10,780.37 contracts
Bid / ask
35.0¢ / 40.0¢

Resolution rules

If the FDA approves a cure for Type 1 diabetes before Jan 1, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.

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Market probabilities reflect venue prices and can change. Market data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Not investment advice. All markets · Licenses