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Will the US default on its debt by Dec 31, 2029?

Defaults

12.0%Market probability
Closes
December 31, 2029 at 11:59 PM ET
Volume
1 contracts
Bid / ask
4.0¢ / 12.0¢

Resolution rules

If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.

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Market probabilities reflect venue prices and can change. Market data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Not investment advice. All markets · Licenses