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Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?

Before 2050

25.2%Market probability
Closes
December 31, 2049 at 11:59 PM ET
Volume
28,878.19 contracts
Bid / ask
25.2¢ / 27.9¢

Resolution rules

If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people residing on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.

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Market probabilities reflect venue prices and can change. Market data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Not investment advice. All markets · Licenses