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Will China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2030?

Before Jan 1, 2030

65.0%Market probability
Closes
December 31, 2029 at 11:59 PM ET
Volume
86.36 contracts
Bid / ask
66.0¢ / 74.0¢

Resolution rules

If China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

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