Will China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility be confirmed before Jan 1, 2029?
Before Jan 1, 2029
58.0%Market probability
- Closes
- December 31, 2028 at 11:59 PM ET
- Volume
- 849.39 contracts
- Bid / ask
- 50.0¢ / 59.0¢
Resolution rules
If China obtains or develops a functional extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machine that is capable of patterning semiconductor wafers in a fabrication facility is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
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