PredictionView
KalshiKalshi · active

Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?

Before 2030

25.0%Market probability
Closes
January 1, 2030 at 10:00 AM ET
Volume
1,735.29 contracts
Bid / ask
22.0¢ / 27.0¢

Resolution rules

If the California Secretary of State officially certifies that at least one ballot initiative on California secession has qualified for the ballot before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Read the source market on Kalshi ↗

Research this market

Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.

Explore Lab strategies ↗

More markets to explore

Market probabilities reflect venue prices and can change. Market data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Not investment advice. All markets · Licenses