Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?
Before 2030
25.0%Market probability
- Closes
- January 1, 2030 at 10:00 AM ET
- Volume
- 1,735.29 contracts
- Bid / ask
- 22.0¢ / 27.0¢
Resolution rules
If the California Secretary of State officially certifies that at least one ballot initiative on California secession has qualified for the ballot before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.
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