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Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?

Before 2030

68.0%Market probability
Closes
January 1, 2030 at 10:00 AM ET
Volume
98,531.66 contracts
Bid / ask
67.0¢ / 71.0¢

Resolution rules

If Blue Origin lands an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship as well as before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Market probabilities reflect venue prices and can change. Market data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Not investment advice. All markets · Licenses