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Will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved before 2031?

Before 2031

68.0%Market probability
Closes
January 7, 2031 at 10:00 AM ET
Volume
20 contracts
Bid / ask
57.0¢ / 65.0¢

Resolution rules

If Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2031 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.

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