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Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?

United States

66.0%Market probability
Closes
December 31, 2029 at 9:59 AM ET
Volume
320.12 contracts
Bid / ask
62.0¢ / 70.0¢

Resolution rules

If an AI lab based in the United States has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.

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