Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?
China
25.0%Market probability
- Closes
- December 31, 2029 at 9:59 AM ET
- Volume
- 424.08 contracts
- Bid / ask
- 25.0¢ / 33.0¢
Resolution rules
If an AI lab based in China has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Read the source market on Kalshi ↗Research this market
Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.
Explore Lab strategies ↗