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Will maximum peak-relative growth in U.S. real GDP per capita for Q3 2026 through Q4 2033 be below 15%?

Below 15%

80.0%Market probability
Closes
January 26, 2034 at 8:29 AM ET
Volume
6.16 contracts
Bid / ask
80.0¢ / 90.0¢

Resolution rules

If the highest percentage increase in U.S. real GDP per capita over its previous peak for Q3 2026 through Q4 2033 is below 15%, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.

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