PredictionView
KalshiKalshi · active

Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2028?

Before Oct 1, 2028

69.0%Market probability
Closes
September 30, 2028 at 11:59 PM ET
Volume
8,341.47 contracts
Bid / ask
68.0¢ / 70.0¢

Resolution rules

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Read the source market on Kalshi ↗

Research this market

Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.

Explore Lab strategies ↗

More markets to explore

Market probabilities reflect venue prices and can change. Market data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Not investment advice. All markets · Licenses