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Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2027?

Before Oct 1, 2027

36.0%Market probability
Closes
September 30, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET
Volume
39,762.93 contracts
Bid / ask
36.0¢ / 41.0¢

Resolution rules

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.

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Market probabilities reflect venue prices and can change. Market data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Not investment advice. All markets · Licenses