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Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?

By 2030

18.0%Market probability
Closes
January 1, 2030 at 10:00 AM ET
Volume
133,647.81 contracts
Bid / ask
18.0¢ / 20.0¢

Resolution rules

If China has overtaken US GDP by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Inspect the YES and NO price history, spread and public order book in the terminal. Lab strategies can be tested over the available visible price history. Model overlays require a linked game and available model data.

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Market probabilities reflect venue prices and can change. Market data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Not investment advice. All markets · Licenses